Could recent November record lows be the year’s coldest temperature?s
What are the odds that the record low temperatures of November 11-12 will turn out to be the coldest temperatures for the entire winter?
The odds are very slim that the November 12 high of 17 and low of 7 will be this cold season’s lowest. Checking Chicago weather records dating back to 1871, only six cold seasons have failed to produce a lower maximum. The extremes were in the winter 1982-83 when the lowest maximum was 20 and most recently in the winter of 2011-12’s when the coldest day had a high of 19. In terms of the low temperature, no cold season has ever recorded a minimum temperature higher than 6 degrees and that low occurred in the winter of 1905-06 on February 2. The lowest readings in the cold season of 2011-12 was 5 degrees, and 3 degrees in 1982-83.