We’re All Day-To-Day
I say this after watching the Cubs go 6-4 on what always is a difficult trip out west only to come home and lose the first three games to the last-place Brewers.
Actually, it’s a bit instructive. Over the course of what we term “small sample sizes,” all things are possible. It’s why bad clubs occasionally sweep great teams and why wild card entrants knock off division winners in the playoffs.
Quantitative analysis is extremely helpful for long-term judgments — in terms of what a player will likely be over the course of his career, what a team’s record should be over 162 games based on its talent. But in terms of a game or a series or a week? Not so much.
I am not a gambling man, but if I were, I’d never put money down on baseball. It’s way too fickle from day-to-day. As a fan of the game, it’s what I love about it. You never know what you’re gonna get when you come to the yard.